{"id":8824,"date":"2023-10-09T15:58:58","date_gmt":"2023-10-09T13:58:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ceves.org.rs\/?p=8824"},"modified":"2025-11-11T15:48:03","modified_gmt":"2025-11-11T14:48:03","slug":"sr-pohlepa-zgodan-osumnjiceni-za-visoku-inflaciju","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ceves.org.rs\/en\/sr-pohlepa-zgodan-osumnjiceni-za-visoku-inflaciju\/","title":{"rendered":"Greed: A Convenient Suspect for High Inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"

Iako prijem\u010diva nezadovoljnim potro\u0161a\u010dima, teorija o rastu cena usled pohlepe prodavaca i proizvo\u0111a\u010da, odnosno te\u017enje za \u0161to ve\u0107im profitom (<\/em>\u201egreedflation“<\/a><\/em>) \u2013 ne nalazi utemeljenje u dostupnim finansijskim podacima.<\/em><\/p>\n

Sektorskom analizom finansijskih izve\u0161taja svih preduze\u0107a u Srbiji (kliknite ovde za ceo izve\u0161taj<\/a>) do\u0161li smo do zaklju\u010dka da se od 19.4% rasta prihoda privrede u periodu 2021-2022, 91%[1]<\/a> mo\u017ee direktno objasniti rastom tro\u0161kova, dok se preostalih 9%[2]<\/a> mo\u017ee objasniti uve\u0107anjem profita; odnosno \u2013 pohlepa bi eventualno mogla biti odgovorna tek za jedanaestinu ukupne inflacije.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Izvor: Godi\u0161nji bilten finansijskih izve\u0161taja za 2022. godinu (APR), kalkulacije autora<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Profitnu marginu[3]<\/a> najvi\u0161e su uve\u0107ali rudarstvo (za 47%), poslovanje nekretninama (35%), zabava i rekreacija \u2013 mahom kladionice (31%), poljoprivreda (18%), i HORECA (15%).<\/p>\n

Razlozi za pove\u0107anje profitabilnosti u ovim delatnostima uglavnom su povezani sa pove\u0107anjem tra\u017enje (u Beograd se doselilo 150.000-200.000 ljudi) koja jeste imala uticaj na ekonomski opravdan rast cena.<\/p>\n

Va\u017eno je i napomenuti da je pad profita u elektroprivredi direktna posledica lo\u0161eg upravljanja sistemom; u odsustvu istog, sektor bi, kao i sektor nafte i uglja, do\u017eiveo rast profita \u2013 kao posledica me\u0111unarodnih kretanja u cenama energenata.<\/p>\n

Obroci u restoranima su zaklju\u010dno sa decembrom 2022. poskupeli za 19% me\u0111ugodi\u0161nje. Otprilike 15% od toga (poskupljenje od 2,9%) mo\u017ee se pripisati nastojanju da se pove\u0107a profit, dok je preostalih 85% (16,1% poskupljenja) rezultat uve\u0107anih tro\u0161kova (hrane, plata, zakupa…). Na primer, kafa je ko\u0161tala 150 dinara, a sada ko\u0161ta 178,5 \u2013 poskupela je za 28,5 dinara. Od toga, 4,3 dinara odnosi se na pove\u0107anje profita, a 24,2 na pove\u0107ane tro\u0161kove kafi\u0107a.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\n
\n
\n

Profitna margina u trgovini se nije pove\u0107ala, ali je sektor uspeo da celokupno pove\u0107anje ulaznih cena prevali na potro\u0161a\u010de, \u0161to govori o nesumnjivom prisustvu odre\u0111ene monopolske mo\u0107i<\/strong>. Podaci ukazuju da je trgova\u010dka mar\u017ea[4]<\/a> iznosila oko 37% u proseku i u 2021. i u 2022. To zna\u010di da maloprodaja nije direktno odgovorna za pove\u0107anje inflacije.<\/p>\n

Me\u0111utim, \u010dinjenica da su trgovci uspeli da svoje komparativno visoke trgova\u010dke mar\u017ee u potpunosti o\u010duvaju punim prilago\u0111avanjem cena mo\u017ee da ukazuje na problem nesrazmerne raspodele mo\u0107i izme\u0111u trgovaca, dobavlja\u010da i potro\u0161a\u010da<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

U prilog tome govori i da mereno neto prinosom na kapital od 15% trgovina predstavlja jednu od najprofitabilnijih delatnosti u Srbiji (prosek na nivou privrede je 9%).<\/p>\n

Stoga, uvedene mere ograni\u010davanja cena pojedinih proizvoda ne moraju nu\u017eno stvoriti tr\u017ei\u0161nu distorziju, u smislu potencijalne \u0161tete po dobavlja\u010de i nesta\u0161ice proizvoda; ve\u0107 \u010dak uticati i na blago ograni\u010davanje te \u201emo\u0107i“. Ipak, u ure\u0111enim tr\u017ei\u0161nim ekonomijama, za o\u010dekivati bi bilo da do takvog ograni\u010davanja ne dolazi dr\u017eavnom intervencijom, ve\u0107 omogu\u0107avanjem fer konkurencije<\/strong>, koja pogoduje potro\u0161a\u010dima.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\n

[1]<\/a> 17,7p.p. rasta prihoda privrede<\/p>\n

[2]<\/a> 1,7p.p. rasta prihoda privrede<\/p>\n

[3]<\/a> Profitna margina predstavlja u\u010de\u0161\u0107e profita u prihodu. Ve\u0107a profitna margina zna\u010di da se ve\u0107i deo prihoda preduze\u0107a preliva direktno u profit.<\/p>\n

[4]<\/a> Trgova\u010dka mar\u017ea je razlika izme\u0111u cene po kojoj trgovac nabavlja proizvod i po kojoj ga prodaje.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Iako prijem\u010diva nezadovoljnim potro\u0161a\u010dima, teorija o rastu cena usled pohlepe prodavaca i proizvo\u0111a\u010da, odnosno te\u017enje za \u0161to ve\u0107im profitom (\u201egreedflation“) \u2013 ne nalazi utemeljenje u dostupnim finansijskim podacima. Sektorskom analizom finansijskih izve\u0161taja svih preduze\u0107a u Srbiji (kliknite ovde za ceo izve\u0161taj) do\u0161li smo do zaklju\u010dka da se od 19.4% rasta prihoda privrede u periodu 2021-2022, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":8827,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8824","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vesti"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPohlepa zgodan osumnji\u010deni za visoku inflaciju - Ceves | Centar za visoke ekonomske studije<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ceves.org.rs\/en\/sr-pohlepa-zgodan-osumnjiceni-za-visoku-inflaciju\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pohlepa zgodan osumnji\u010deni za visoku inflaciju - Ceves | Centar za visoke ekonomske studije\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Iako prijem\u010diva nezadovoljnim potro\u0161a\u010dima, teorija o rastu cena usled pohlepe prodavaca i proizvo\u0111a\u010da, odnosno te\u017enje za \u0161to ve\u0107im profitom (\u201egreedflation“) \u2013 ne nalazi utemeljenje u dostupnim finansijskim podacima. 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